SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 54.64%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.83%) and 0-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 2-1 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Manchester United |
22.5% ( -0.02) | 22.85% ( 0.14) | 54.64% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 55.84% ( -0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.98% ( -0.66) | 44.02% ( 0.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.59% ( -0.64) | 66.4% ( 0.64) |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.49% ( -0.39) | 33.51% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.85% ( -0.42) | 70.15% ( 0.42) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.98% ( -0.28) | 16.02% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.65% ( -0.5) | 45.35% ( 0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Manchester United |
| 2-1 @ 5.88% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 2.28% Total : 22.5% | 1-1 @ 10.74% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.85% | 1-2 @ 9.84% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 9% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 6.01% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 5.5% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 2.75% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 2.52% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.05)1-5 @ 1.01% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.48% Total : 54.64% |
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