Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 57.38%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 19.34%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	Nottingham Forest
57.38% ( 0)	23.28% ( -0.07)	19.34% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 49.79% (

0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.25% (

0.38)

49.75% (

-0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.24% (

0.34)

71.76% (

-0.34)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.9% (

0.14)

17.1% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.7% (

0.24)

47.3% (

-0.24)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.06% (

0.3)

39.93% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.41% (

0.27)

76.59% (

-0.27)

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 57.37%

Nottingham Forest 19.34%

Draw 23.28%

Aston Villa	Draw	Nottingham Forest
1-0 @ 12.06% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 10.64% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.27% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.76% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.54% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 57.37%	1-1 @ 11.07% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.9% Total : 23.28%	0-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.88% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.19% Total : 19.34%