SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 68.45%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 11.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.07%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
68.45% ( 0.01) | 19.63% ( 0.42) | 11.92% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 44.18% ( -2.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.77% ( -2.77) | 48.24% ( 2.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.62% ( -2.59) | 70.39% ( 2.59) |
| Tottenham Hotspur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.96% ( -0.82) | 13.04% ( 0.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.39% ( -1.7) | 39.61% ( 1.7) |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.8% ( -2.45) | 49.2% ( 2.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.91% ( -1.8) | 84.1% ( 1.81) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
| 2-0 @ 13.31% ( 0.7) 1-0 @ 13.07% ( 1.07)2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 9.04% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 6.41% ( -0.31)4-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.27)3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.28)5-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.16)4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.19)Other @ 2.67% Total : 68.45% | 1-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.71)2-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.3)Other @ 0.59% Total : 19.63% | 0-1 @ 4.55% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.19)0-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.47% Total : 11.92% |
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