Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 65.13%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for West Ham United had a probability of 15.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for a West Ham United win it was 1-2 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
Result | ||
Liverpool | Draw | West Ham United |
65.13% ( 0.32) | 19.53% ( -0.08) | 15.34% ( -0.23) |
Both teams to score 53.97% ( -0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.87% ( -0.07) | 40.13% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.5% ( -0.07) | 62.5% ( 0.07) |
Liverpool Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.43% ( 0.07) | 11.57% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.48% ( 0.14) | 36.52% ( -0.14) |
West Ham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.03% ( -0.34) | 38.97% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.31% ( -0.32) | 75.69% ( 0.32) |
Score Analysis |
Liverpool | Draw | West Ham United |
2-0 @ 10.48% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.72% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.83% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.94% Total : 65.12% | 1-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.53% | 1-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 4.25% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.96% Total : 15.35% |
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