SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 40.38%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.23%) and 0-2 (5.79%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 2-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal | Draw | Liverpool |
35.79% ( 1.39) | 23.82% ( 0.27) | 40.38% ( -1.66) |
| Both teams to score 61.96% ( -0.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.83% ( -1.05) | 40.16% ( 1.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.46% ( -1.09) | 62.53% ( 1.09) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.59% ( 0.26) | 22.4% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.08% ( 0.39) | 55.92% ( -0.38) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.85% ( -1.18) | 20.15% ( 1.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.57% ( -1.92) | 52.43% ( 1.92) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal | Draw | Liverpool |
| 2-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.22) 1-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.37)2-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.31)3-1 @ 4.04% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.18)4-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.45% Total : 35.79% | 1-1 @ 10.81% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.22)3-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.82% | 1-2 @ 8.67% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 4.63% ( -0.26)2-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.2)1-4 @ 1.85% ( -0.18)2-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.12)0-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.13)Other @ 3.03% Total : 40.38% |
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