SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 42.14%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 35.07% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.21%) and 0-2 (5.45%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 2-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Manchester City |
35.07% ( -2.09) | 22.78% ( 0.05) | 42.14% ( 2.05) |
| Both teams to score 65.78% ( -0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.88% ( -0.58) | 35.12% ( 0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.87% ( -0.64) | 57.13% ( 0.65) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.52% ( -1.27) | 20.47% ( 1.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.05% ( -2.06) | 52.94% ( 2.05) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.71% ( 0.61) | 17.29% ( -0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.37% ( 1.06) | 47.63% ( -1.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Manchester City |
| 2-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.24) 1-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.23)3-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.3)3-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.18)3-0 @ 2.35% ( -0.22)4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.19)4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.13)Other @ 3.07% Total : 35.07% | 1-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.86% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.78% | 1-2 @ 8.65% ( 0.25) 0-1 @ 6.21% ( 0.3)0-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.37)1-3 @ 5.06% ( 0.24)2-3 @ 4.01% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.27)1-4 @ 2.22% ( 0.15)2-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.14)3-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.27% Total : 42.15% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
