SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 87.45%. A draw had a probability of 8.7% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 3.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 4-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.06%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 1-2 (1.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
87.45% ( 0.84) | 8.66% ( -0.36) | 3.89% ( -0.48) |
| Both teams to score 44.75% ( -2.86) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.15% ( -0.96) | 24.85% ( 0.97) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 55.28% ( -1.28) | 44.72% ( 1.28) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.33% ( -0.03) | 3.67% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 84.21% ( -0.09) | 15.79% ( 0.1) |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.45% ( -2.95) | 53.55% ( 2.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13% ( -1.93) | 87% ( 1.93) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
| 3-0 @ 11.82% ( 0.66) 2-0 @ 10.73% ( 0.63)4-0 @ 9.77% ( 0.52)3-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.22)2-1 @ 6.7% ( -0.18)1-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.39)5-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.33)4-1 @ 6.1% ( -0.2)5-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.14)6-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.29)6-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.24)7-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.08)5-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.16)7-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.97% Total : 87.45% | 1-1 @ 4.06% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.25)0-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.55% Total : 8.66% | 1-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.4% Total : 3.89% |
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