SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 51.35%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 26% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.17%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 2-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Liverpool |
26% ( 0.06) | 22.66% ( -0.02) | 51.35% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 60.61% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.44% ( 0.14) | 39.56% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.09% ( 0.15) | 61.91% ( -0.15) |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.79% ( 0.13) | 28.21% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.09% ( 0.16) | 63.91% ( -0.16) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.43% ( 0.03) | 15.56% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.49% ( 0.06) | 44.51% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Liverpool |
| 2-1 @ 6.54% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 3.52% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.58% Total : 26% | 1-1 @ 10.33% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.65% | 1-2 @ 9.61% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 7.6% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 5.96% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.71% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.77% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.77% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.19% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 3.77% Total : 51.35% |
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