MX23RW : Saturday, June 22 09:03:58
SM
Turkey vs. Portugal: 6 hrs 56 mins
Upcoming predictions and previews
LT
Premier League | Gameweek 27
Mar 2, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
AV

Luton
2 - 3
Aston Villa

Chong (66'), Morris (72')
Burke (38')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Watkins (24', 38'), Digne (89')
Bailey (45+5'), Luiz (45'), Rogers (50'), Zaniolo (90+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 60.41%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 19.28%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.71%) and 0-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Luton Town win it was 2-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawAston Villa
19.28% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05) 20.3% (-0.175 -0.18) 60.41% (0.22 0.22)
Both teams to score 59.7% (0.56 0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.4% (0.76900000000001 0.77)36.6% (-0.772 -0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.25% (0.832 0.83)58.75% (-0.83600000000001 -0.84)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.68% (0.407 0.41)32.32% (-0.413 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.17% (0.458 0.46)68.82% (-0.46300000000001 -0.46)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.21% (0.29499999999999 0.29)11.79% (-0.299 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.01% (0.634 0.63)36.99% (-0.638 -0.64)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 19.28%
    Aston Villa 60.41%
    Draw 20.3%
Luton TownDrawAston Villa
2-1 @ 5.2% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-0 @ 4.3% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-0 @ 2.43% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.09% (0.04 0.04)
3-1 @ 1.96% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 0.92% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 19.28%
1-1 @ 9.2% (-0.136 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.56% (0.047 0.05)
0-0 @ 3.81% (-0.147 -0.15)
3-3 @ 1.49% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 20.3%
1-2 @ 9.84% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 8.71% (-0.124 -0.12)
0-1 @ 8.15% (-0.214 -0.21)
1-3 @ 7.01% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
0-3 @ 6.21% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.96% (0.079 0.08)
1-4 @ 3.75% (0.077 0.08)
0-4 @ 3.32% (0.031 0.03)
2-4 @ 2.12% (0.066 0.07)
1-5 @ 1.6% (0.052 0.05)
0-5 @ 1.42% (0.03 0.03)
2-5 @ 0.91% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 60.41%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Luton 2-6 Man City
Tuesday, February 27 at 8pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Liverpool 4-1 Luton
Wednesday, February 21 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Luton 1-2 Man Utd
Sunday, February 18 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Luton 1-3 Sheff Utd
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 4-4 Luton
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Luton 4-0 Brighton
Tuesday, January 30 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 4-2 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Fulham 1-2 Aston Villa
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-2 Man Utd
Sunday, February 11 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-3 Chelsea
Wednesday, February 7 at 8pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Sheff Utd 0-5 Aston Villa
Saturday, February 3 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-3 Newcastle
Tuesday, January 30 at 8.15pm in Premier League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
AL
Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!

Loading ...

Failed to load data.



. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .