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MC
Premier League | Gameweek 34
Jul 8, 2020 at 6pm UK
Etihad Stadium
NL

Man City
5 - 0
Newcastle

Jesus (10'), Mahrez (21'), Fernandez (58' og.), Silva (65'), Sterling (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 78.32%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 7.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.7%) and 1-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.6%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 0-1 (2.5%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester CityDrawNewcastle United
78.32%13.95%7.73%
Both teams to score 47.42%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.09%34.91%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.11%56.89%
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.85%7.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.98%26.02%
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.07%48.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.1%83.9%
Score Analysis
    Manchester City 78.3%
    Newcastle United 7.73%
    Draw 13.95%
Manchester CityDrawNewcastle United
2-0 @ 12.17%
3-0 @ 10.7%
1-0 @ 9.23%
2-1 @ 8.71%
3-1 @ 7.66%
4-0 @ 7.06%
4-1 @ 5.05%
5-0 @ 3.73%
3-2 @ 2.74%
5-1 @ 2.66%
4-2 @ 1.8%
6-0 @ 1.64%
6-1 @ 1.17%
5-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 78.3%
1-1 @ 6.6%
0-0 @ 3.5%
2-2 @ 3.11%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 13.95%
0-1 @ 2.5%
1-2 @ 2.36%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 7.73%


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