Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 43.36%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	Crystal Palace
43.36%	25.98%	30.66%

Both teams to score 52.82%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.67%

51.33%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.85%

73.15%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.46%

23.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.41%

57.58%

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.08%

30.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.79%

67.21%

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 43.35%

Crystal Palace 30.66%

Draw 25.98%

Aston Villa	Draw	Crystal Palace
1-0 @ 10.52% 2-1 @ 8.94% 2-0 @ 7.61% 3-1 @ 4.31% 3-0 @ 3.67% 3-2 @ 2.53% 4-1 @ 1.56% 4-0 @ 1.33% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.97% Total : 43.35%	1-1 @ 12.35% 0-0 @ 7.28% 2-2 @ 5.25% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.98%	0-1 @ 8.54% 1-2 @ 7.25% 0-2 @ 5.01% 1-3 @ 2.84% 2-3 @ 2.05% 0-3 @ 1.96% Other @ 3% Total : 30.66%