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Premier League | Gameweek 2
Oct 3, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
BL

Luton
1 - 2
Burnley

Adebayo (84')
Brown (36'), Burke (59'), Nakamba (90+3'), Chong (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Foster (45+2'), Bruun Larsen (85')
Roberts (66'), Taylor (90+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Everton 1-2 Luton
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 2-0 Burnley
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 37.46%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawBurnley
35.67% (-0.52800000000001 -0.53) 26.87% (-0.096 -0.1) 37.46% (0.629 0.63)
Both teams to score 51.31% (0.297 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.14% (0.382 0.38)53.86% (-0.377 -0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.68% (0.321 0.32)75.33% (-0.315 -0.31)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.1% (-0.134 -0.13)28.9% (0.139 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.22% (-0.169 -0.17)64.78% (0.17400000000001 0.17)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.17% (0.554 0.55)27.83% (-0.549 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.57% (0.701 0.7)63.43% (-0.697 -0.7)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 35.67%
    Burnley 37.45%
    Draw 26.87%
Luton TownDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 9.99% (-0.185 -0.19)
2-1 @ 7.93% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-0 @ 6.2% (-0.141 -0.14)
3-1 @ 3.28% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.56% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.1% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.02% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 35.67%
1-1 @ 12.77% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.04% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.87%
0-1 @ 10.28%
1-2 @ 8.17% (0.1 0.1)
0-2 @ 6.58% (0.105 0.11)
1-3 @ 3.48% (0.095 0.1)
0-3 @ 2.81% (0.087 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.16% (0.051 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.11% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 37.45%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Everton 1-2 Luton
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Exeter 1-0 Luton
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Luton 1-1 Wolves
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Fulham 1-0 Luton
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Luton 1-2 West Ham
Friday, September 1 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Luton 3-2 Gillingham
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Newcastle 2-0 Burnley
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Salford City 0-4 Burnley
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Burnley 0-1 Man Utd
Saturday, September 23 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-1 Burnley
Monday, September 18 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Burnley 2-5 Spurs
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 0-1 Burnley
Wednesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup


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