We said: Tottenham Hotspur 2-0 Crystal Palace
Having named a strong team in midweek, Conte is valuing momentum over squad momentum, and we feel that will continue on Boxing Day. While Palace will pose a threat to their hosts on the break, Spurs should have enough in the tank to collect all three points.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 58.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 19.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.