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Premier League | Gameweek 19
Dec 26, 2021 at 3pm UK
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
CP

Spurs
3 - 0
Crystal Palace

Kane (32'), Moura (34'), Heung-min (74')
Sanchez (68')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Zaha (26'), Tomkins (45+1')
Zaha (37')

We said: Tottenham Hotspur 2-0 Crystal Palace

Having named a strong team in midweek, Conte is valuing momentum over squad momentum, and we feel that will continue on Boxing Day. While Palace will pose a threat to their hosts on the break, Spurs should have enough in the tank to collect all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 58.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 19.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.

Result
Tottenham HotspurDrawCrystal Palace
58.11%22.79%19.1%
Both teams to score 50.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.93%48.07%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.77%70.23%
Tottenham Hotspur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.75%16.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.23%45.78%
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.78%39.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.07%75.93%
Score Analysis
    Tottenham Hotspur 58.11%
    Crystal Palace 19.1%
    Draw 22.78%
Tottenham HotspurDrawCrystal Palace
1-0 @ 11.58%
2-0 @ 10.52%
2-1 @ 9.85%
3-0 @ 6.37%
3-1 @ 5.97%
4-0 @ 2.9%
3-2 @ 2.79%
4-1 @ 2.71%
4-2 @ 1.27%
5-0 @ 1.05%
5-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 58.11%
1-1 @ 10.83%
0-0 @ 6.37%
2-2 @ 4.61%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 22.78%
0-1 @ 5.97%
1-2 @ 5.07%
0-2 @ 2.79%
1-3 @ 1.58%
2-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 19.1%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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