SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 49.36%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 27.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Brentford win was 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea | Draw | Brentford |
49.36% ( -0.01) | 23.37% ( 0.02) | 27.27% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 59.26% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.13% ( -0.1) | 41.87% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.72% ( -0.1) | 64.27% ( 0.1) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.87% ( -0.04) | 17.13% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.65% ( -0.08) | 47.35% ( 0.08) |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.51% ( -0.06) | 28.49% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.73% ( -0.07) | 64.26% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea | Draw | Brentford |
| 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.47% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.97% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.01% Total : 49.36% | 1-1 @ 10.81% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.37% | 1-2 @ 6.79% 0-1 @ 6.13% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.85% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.84% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 3.55% Total : 27.27% |
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