Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 46.73%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 28.3% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-0 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bournemouth | Draw | Chelsea |
28.3% ( 1.89) | 24.97% ( 0.16) | 46.73% ( -2.04) |
Both teams to score 54.71% ( 0.99) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.76% ( 0.61) | 48.24% ( -0.61) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.61% ( 0.56) | 70.39% ( -0.56) |
Bournemouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.97% ( 1.78) | 31.03% ( -1.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.66% ( 2.03) | 67.34% ( -2.02) |
Chelsea Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.32% ( -0.62) | 20.68% ( 0.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.73% ( -0.98) | 53.27% ( 0.99) |
Score Analysis |
Bournemouth | Draw | Chelsea |
1-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 6.93% ( 0.36) 2-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.31) 3-1 @ 2.7% ( 0.26) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.2) Other @ 2.93% Total : 28.3% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.96% | 0-1 @ 10.11% ( -0.46) 1-2 @ 9.33% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 7.97% ( -0.52) 1-3 @ 4.9% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 4.19% ( -0.36) 2-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.93% ( -0.11) 0-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.18) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 2.67% Total : 46.73% |
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