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Premier League | Gameweek 9
Oct 21, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stamford Bridge
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Chelsea
2 - 2
Arsenal

Palmer (15' pen.), Mudryk (48')
Palmer (8'), Silva (44'), Cucurella (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Rice (77'), Trossard (84')
Arteta (9'), Zinchenko (11'), Nketiah (89'), White (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 1-4 Chelsea
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 1-0 Man City
Sunday, October 8 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 45.94%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 29.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-0 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
ChelseaDrawArsenal
29.36%24.71% (0.0019999999999989 0) 45.94% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Both teams to score 56.28% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.5% (0.0039999999999978 0)46.5% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)68.78% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.63% (0.0040000000000049 0)29.37% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)65.36%
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.68% (0.0040000000000049 0)20.32% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.3% (0.0039999999999978 0)52.7% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea 29.36%
    Arsenal 45.94%
    Draw 24.7%
ChelseaDrawArsenal
1-0 @ 7.31%
2-1 @ 7.14%
2-0 @ 4.48%
3-1 @ 2.91%
3-2 @ 2.32%
3-0 @ 1.83%
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 29.36%
1-1 @ 11.65%
0-0 @ 5.97% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.69%
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.7%
0-1 @ 9.51%
1-2 @ 9.29% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 7.58%
1-3 @ 4.93%
0-3 @ 4.03%
2-3 @ 3.02%
1-4 @ 1.97%
0-4 @ 1.6%
2-4 @ 1.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 45.94%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Burnley 1-4 Chelsea
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Fulham 0-2 Chelsea
Monday, October 2 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 1-0 Brighton
Wednesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Chelsea 0-1 Aston Villa
Sunday, September 24 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 0-0 Chelsea
Sunday, September 17 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 0-1 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 1-0 Man City
Sunday, October 8 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Lens 2-1 Arsenal
Tuesday, October 3 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Bournemouth 0-4 Arsenal
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 0-1 Arsenal
Wednesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Arsenal 2-2 Spurs
Sunday, September 24 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 4-0 PSV
Wednesday, September 20 at 8pm in Champions League


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