We said: Leeds United 1-1 Arsenal
The formbook points firmly to an Arsenal win in this match, but it may not be that straightforward with Leeds having only lost twice at home this season and Arsenal having only won twice on the road.
Bielsa will also be demanding a response to Tuesday's mauling at Man City, so we are backing the hosts to get something out of this game.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 41.32%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 1-2 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
