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Thursday, March 28
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CL
Premier League | Gameweek 16
Dec 11, 2021 at 3pm UK
Stamford Bridge
LL

Chelsea
3 - 2
Leeds

Mount (42'), Jorginho (58' pen., 90+4' pen.)
James (34'), Mount (60')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Raphinha (28' pen.), Gelhardt (83')
Firpo (42'), Shackleton (53'), Klich (69'), Meslier (90+3'), Llorente (90+6')

We said: Chelsea 3-0 Leeds United

The last thing that Leeds needed before a trip to Stamford Bridge was a spate of fresh injury concerns, which Tuchel will expect his side to take advantage of in front of the home crowd. Bielsa has steadied the Whites' ship slightly in recent weeks, but we do not expect Chelsea's misery to be prolonged any longer - this ought to be a routine return to winning ways for the Blues. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 69.27%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 12.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%), while for a Leeds United win it was 0-1 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
ChelseaDrawLeeds United
69.27%18.19%12.54%
Both teams to score 50.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.65%40.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.28%62.72%
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.45%10.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.72%34.28%
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.85%43.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.58%79.42%
Score Analysis
    Chelsea 69.26%
    Leeds United 12.54%
    Draw 18.19%
ChelseaDrawLeeds United
2-0 @ 11.51%
1-0 @ 10.23%
2-1 @ 9.68%
3-0 @ 8.63%
3-1 @ 7.26%
4-0 @ 4.86%
4-1 @ 4.08%
3-2 @ 3.05%
5-0 @ 2.18%
5-1 @ 1.84%
4-2 @ 1.71%
Other @ 4.23%
Total : 69.26%
1-1 @ 8.61%
0-0 @ 4.55%
2-2 @ 4.07%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 18.19%
0-1 @ 3.83%
1-2 @ 3.62%
0-2 @ 1.61%
2-3 @ 1.14%
1-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 12.54%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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