Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 73.93%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 9.84%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.17%) and 0-3 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.7%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 1-0 (3.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
0.02) 
-0.04) 
