SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 73.64%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 10.52%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 3-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.38%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 1-2 (3.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
73.64% ( 0.26) | 15.85% ( -0.1) | 10.52% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 52.57% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.35% ( 0.03) | 34.66% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.4% ( 0.04) | 56.61% ( -0.03) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.93% ( 0.07) | 8.08% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.61% ( 0.16) | 28.4% ( -0.16) |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.19% ( -0.26) | 42.81% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.87% ( -0.23) | 79.13% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
| 2-0 @ 10.94% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.07)1-0 @ 8.7% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.79% ( 0)4-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 2.47% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 1.05% ( -0)6-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.01% Total : 73.63% | 1-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 3.46% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 15.85% | 1-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.1% Total : 10.52% |
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