SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 57.24%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 20.13%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.93%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 1-0 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Arsenal in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Arsenal.
| Result | ||
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Arsenal |
20.13% ( 0.37) | 22.63% ( 0.49) | 57.24% ( -0.86) |
| Both teams to score 53.08% ( -1.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.99% ( -1.64) | 46.01% ( 1.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.68% ( -1.57) | 68.32% ( 1.57) |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.06% ( -0.56) | 36.94% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.28% ( -0.56) | 73.72% ( 0.57) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.17% ( -0.84) | 15.83% ( 0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55% ( -1.58) | 45% ( 1.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Arsenal |
| 1-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.69% Total : 20.13% | 1-1 @ 10.73% ( 0.27) 0-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.4)2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.63% | 0-1 @ 10.77% ( 0.43) 0-2 @ 9.93% ( 0.11)1-2 @ 9.89% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 6.1% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 6.08% ( -0.21)2-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.15)0-4 @ 2.81% ( -0.14)1-4 @ 2.8% ( -0.18)2-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.11)0-5 @ 1.04% ( -0.08)1-5 @ 1.03% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.35% Total : 57.23% |
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