Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 70.99%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 11.76%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.57%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.11%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 0-1 (3.44%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.