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Premier League | Gameweek 23
Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
St Mary's Stadium
WL

Southampton
1 - 2
Wolves

FT(HT: 1-0)
Bednarek (72' og.), Gomes (87')
Lemina (9'), Semedo (23'), Ait-Nouri (30')

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Wolverhampton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
SouthamptonDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
40.71% (-0.175 -0.17) 26.94% (0.050999999999998 0.05) 32.36% (0.127 0.13)
Both teams to score 50.5% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.39% (-0.166 -0.17)54.61% (0.16699999999999 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.05% (-0.138 -0.14)75.95% (0.14100000000001 0.14)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.63% (-0.16900000000001 -0.17)26.37% (0.171 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.49% (-0.227 -0.23)61.52% (0.229 0.23)
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.58% (0.0010000000000048 0)31.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)67.79% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 40.71%
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 32.36%
    Draw 26.93%
SouthamptonDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
1-0 @ 11.04% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.52% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.36% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.79% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.27% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.09% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 40.71%
1-1 @ 12.78% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.28% (0.054 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.93%
0-1 @ 9.59% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
1-2 @ 7.4% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.55% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.86% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.14% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 32.36%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Brentford 3-0 Southampton
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 2-1 Southampton
Tuesday, January 31 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Southampton 2-1 Blackpool
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Southampton 0-1 Newcastle
Tuesday, January 24 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Southampton 0-1 Aston Villa
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Everton 1-2 Southampton
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 3-0 Liverpool
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 3-0 Wolves
Sunday, January 22 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 0-1 Liverpool
Tuesday, January 17 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Wolves 1-0 West Ham
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-1 Wolves (4-3 pen.)
Wednesday, January 11 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Liverpool 2-2 Wolves
Saturday, January 7 at 8pm in FA Cup


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