SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Everton had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Everton win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Everton | Draw | Leeds United |
35.23% ( 1.47) | 25.72% ( -0.01) | 39.05% ( -1.45) |
| Both teams to score 55.08% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.95% ( 0.29) | 49.05% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.87% ( 0.26) | 71.12% ( -0.26) |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.15% ( 1.03) | 26.85% ( -1.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.84% ( 1.34) | 62.15% ( -1.34) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.29% ( -0.63) | 24.71% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.75% ( -0.88) | 59.25% ( 0.88) |
| Score Analysis |
| Everton | Draw | Leeds United |
| 1-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.22)2-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.26)3-1 @ 3.51% ( 0.19)3-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.18)3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.11% Total : 35.23% | 1-1 @ 12.19% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.63% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.28) 1-2 @ 8.53% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.32)1-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.21)2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.09)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.8% Total : 39.05% |
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