SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Maritimo | 33 | -3 | 38 |
| 9 | Boavista | 34 | -13 | 38 |
| 10 | Portimonense | 34 | -14 | 38 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Vizela | 33 | -18 | 33 |
| 15 | Arouca | 33 | -22 | 31 |
| 16 | Moreirense | 33 | -17 | 29 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boavista in this match.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Arouca |
| 39.91% | 26.13% | 33.95% |
| Both teams to score 53.46% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.98% | 51.01% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.12% | 72.88% |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.85% | 25.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.14% | 59.86% |
| Arouca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.42% | 28.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.63% | 64.37% |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Arouca |
| 1-0 @ 9.92% 2-1 @ 8.58% 2-0 @ 6.85% 3-1 @ 3.95% 3-0 @ 3.15% 3-2 @ 2.47% 4-1 @ 1.36% 4-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.55% Total : 39.91% | 1-1 @ 12.42% 0-0 @ 7.19% 2-2 @ 5.37% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.13% | 0-1 @ 9% 1-2 @ 7.78% 0-2 @ 5.64% 1-3 @ 3.25% 0-3 @ 2.35% 2-3 @ 2.24% 1-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.67% Total : 33.95% |
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