MX23RW : Wednesday, May 25 06:42:04
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May 14, 2022 at 3.30pm UK at Estádio Municipal
Arouca
0 - 0
Belenenses

Esgaio (24'), Simao (54')
FT

Akas (84'), Camara (90+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 45.96%. A win for Belenenses had a probability of 27.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Belenenses win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
AroucaDrawBelenenses
45.96% (-0.769 -0.77) 26.73% (0.181 0.18) 27.31% (0.591 0.59)
Both teams to score 48.61% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.15% (-0.33 -0.33)55.85% (0.33 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.03% (-0.269 -0.27)76.97% (0.271 0.27)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.74% (-0.51000000000001 -0.51)24.26% (0.512 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.38% (-0.73 -0.73)58.62% (0.73 0.73)
Belenenses Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.18% (0.308 0.31)35.82% (-0.307 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.4% (0.314 0.31)72.6% (-0.31400000000001 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Arouca 45.95%
    Belenenses 27.31%
    Draw 26.73%
AroucaDrawBelenenses
1-0 @ 12.3% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.95% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
2-0 @ 8.72% (-0.15 -0.15)
3-1 @ 4.23% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-0 @ 4.12% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.17% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.5% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.46% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 45.95%
1-1 @ 12.63% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 8.69% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.59% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 26.73%
0-1 @ 8.92% (0.186 0.19)
1-2 @ 6.49% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.58% (0.133 0.13)
1-3 @ 2.22% (0.05 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.57% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.57% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 27.31%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Braga 1-0 Arouca
Sunday, May 8 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 1-0 Portimonense
Saturday, April 30 at 3pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Vizela 2-1 Arouca
Friday, April 22 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 1-1 Santa Clara
Friday, April 15 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Boavista 1-0 Arouca
Saturday, April 9 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 2-1 Gil Vicente
Saturday, April 2 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Belenenses 2-3 Famalicao
Monday, May 9 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Belenenses 0-1 Braga
Saturday, April 30 at 9pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 2-2 Belenenses
Sunday, April 24 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Belenenses 1-0 Vizela
Saturday, April 16 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 3-1 Belenenses
Saturday, April 9 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Belenenses 2-0 Portimonense
Saturday, April 2 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
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Primeira Liga Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPorto34294186226491
2Sporting Lisbon34274373235085
3Benfica34235678304874
4Braga34198752312165
5Gil Vicente34131294742551
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes34139125041948
7Santa ClaraSanta Clara34913123854-1640
8FamalicaoFamalicao34912134551-639
9Estoril PraiaEstoril34912133643-739
10Maritimo34911143944-538
11BoavistaBoavista34717103952-1338
12PortimonensePortimonense34108163145-1438
13Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira34911142944-1538
14Vizela34712153758-2133
15AroucaArouca34710173054-2431
16MoreirenseMoreirense3478193351-1829
17TondelaTondela3477204167-2628
18BelenensesBelenenses34511182355-3226
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