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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 7
Sep 25, 2021 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio João Cardoso
FL

Tondela
3 - 2
Famalicao

Murillo (33'), Boselli (78'), Dadasov (84')
Augusto (24'), Sagnan (62'), Murillo (63'), Dadasov (86'), Trigueira (90+3'), Bebeto (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Jaime (40'), Marin (50')
Rodrigues (51'), Pepe (63'), Dalberson (70'), Alex (86'), Tavares (90')
Penetra (45+4')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 37.87%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.94%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Tondela win was 1-0 (10.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
TondelaDrawFamalicao
33.99%28.14%37.87%
Both teams to score 47.26%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.14%58.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.64%79.36%
Tondela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.52%32.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31%69%
Famalicao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.99%30.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.87%66.13%
Score Analysis
    Tondela 33.99%
    Famalicao 37.87%
    Draw 28.13%
TondelaDrawFamalicao
1-0 @ 10.96%
2-1 @ 7.42%
2-0 @ 6.16%
3-1 @ 2.78%
3-0 @ 2.31%
3-2 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 33.99%
1-1 @ 13.19%
0-0 @ 9.75%
2-2 @ 4.47%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 28.13%
0-1 @ 11.73%
1-2 @ 7.94%
0-2 @ 7.06%
1-3 @ 3.19%
0-3 @ 2.83%
2-3 @ 1.79%
1-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 37.87%

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