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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 14
Jan 15, 2021 at 9pm UK
Estádio do Dragão
B

Porto
1 - 1
Benfica

Taremi (25')
Pepe (51'), Corona (64'), Marega (73'), Marchesin (90+5')
Taremi (73')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Grimaldo (17')
Pizzi (50'), Tavares (54'), Chiquinho (78'), Vertonghen (84')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 39.59%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Benfica win was 0-1 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
PortoDrawBenfica
39.59%26.28%34.13%
Both teams to score 53.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.41%51.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.62%73.38%
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.42%25.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.55%60.45%
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.26%28.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.42%64.58%
Score Analysis
    Porto 39.59%
    Benfica 34.13%
    Draw 26.27%
PortoDrawBenfica
1-0 @ 10.02%
2-1 @ 8.52%
2-0 @ 6.83%
3-1 @ 3.87%
3-0 @ 3.11%
3-2 @ 2.41%
4-1 @ 1.32%
4-0 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 39.59%
1-1 @ 12.49%
0-0 @ 7.35%
2-2 @ 5.31%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.27%
0-1 @ 9.17%
1-2 @ 7.79%
0-2 @ 5.71%
1-3 @ 3.24%
0-3 @ 2.37%
2-3 @ 2.21%
1-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 34.13%

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