SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boavista in this match.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Gil Vicente |
42.02% ( 0.7) | 25.65% ( -0.22) | 32.32% ( -0.48) |
| Both teams to score 54.57% ( 0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.62% ( 0.79) | 49.38% ( -0.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.57% ( 0.71) | 71.42% ( -0.71) |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.65% ( 0.7) | 23.34% ( -0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.7% ( 1) | 57.3% ( -1.01) |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.18% ( 0.08) | 28.81% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.33% ( 0.09) | 64.66% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 1-0 @ 9.78% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.3% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.04% Total : 42.02% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.22)2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.65% | 0-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 7.58% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 2.61% Total : 32.32% |
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