SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 31.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Moreirense | Draw | Boavista |
42.94% ( 0.08) | 25.3% ( 0.01) | 31.76% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 55.54% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.98% ( -0.07) | 48.02% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.81% ( -0.06) | 70.19% ( 0.07) |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.69% ( 0.01) | 22.31% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.23% ( 0.01) | 55.77% ( -0.01) |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.49% ( -0.09) | 28.51% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.71% ( -0.12) | 64.29% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Moreirense | Draw | Boavista |
| 1-0 @ 9.54% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.49% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.69% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 2.29% Total : 42.94% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.29% | 0-1 @ 7.98% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.51% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.68% Total : 31.76% |
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