Casa Pia have enjoyed a marvellous start to the campaign and will need to realign their ambitions this season to more than just Primeira Liga survival.
Chaves have been struggling of late and a trip to face a defensively solid and effective Casa Pia side is not a likely time for their poor form to change.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 50.28%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 23.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Chaves win it was 0-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
0.01) 
-0.02) 
