Casa Pia have enjoyed a marvellous start to the campaign and will need to realign their ambitions this season to more than just Primeira Liga survival. Chaves have been struggling of late and a trip to face a defensively solid and effective Casa Pia side is not a likely time for their poor form to change. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 50.28%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 23.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Chaves win it was 0-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Casa Pia	Draw	Chaves
50.28% ( 0.01)	26.19% ( 0)	23.53% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 46.89% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.55% (

-0.02)

56.45% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.55% (

-0.02)

77.45% (

0.02)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.48% (

-0)

22.52% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.9% (

-0.01)

56.1% (

0.01)

Chaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.52% (

-0.03)

39.47% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.83% (

-0.02)

76.17% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Casa Pia 50.27%

Chaves 23.53%

Draw 26.19%

Casa Pia	Draw	Chaves
1-0 @ 13.25% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.91% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.56% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.83% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0) Other @ 2.84% Total : 50.27%	1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.27% ( -0) Other @ 0.72% Total : 26.19%	0-1 @ 8.26% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.73% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.84% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 1.41% Total : 23.53%