SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 47.92%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.17%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 1-0 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Porto |
27.35% ( 0.83) | 24.73% ( -0.24) | 47.92% ( -0.59) |
| Both teams to score 54.76% ( 1.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.16% ( 1.58) | 47.83% ( -1.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.98% ( 1.44) | 70.02% ( -1.43) |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.46% ( 1.49) | 31.54% ( -1.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.07% ( 1.68) | 67.93% ( -1.68) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.99% ( 0.38) | 20.01% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.79% ( 0.61) | 52.21% ( -0.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Famalicao | Draw | Porto |
| 1-0 @ 7.28% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 6.76% ( 0.19)2-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.16)3-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.79% Total : 27.35% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.42)2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.21)3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.72% | 0-1 @ 10.15% ( -0.55) 1-2 @ 9.43% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.17% ( -0.34)1-3 @ 5.06% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 4.38% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.15)1-4 @ 2.03% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.85% Total : 47.92% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
