The hosts will be brimming with confidence heading into this match after claiming a massive three points last week, which saw them move off the foot of the table. However, they now face a Casa Pia side that have earned the majority of their points on the road and possess the best defensive record outside of the top three teams in the league.
This looks like a very even contest in the making, and we feel these sides will end up sharing the spoils at the full-time whistle.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 32.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.
0.01) 
-0.01) 
