SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%).
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Casa Pia |
41.11% ( 0.04) | 26.3% ( -0.05) | 32.58% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 52.54% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.96% ( 0.18) | 52.03% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.23% ( 0.16) | 73.77% ( -0.16) |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.02% ( 0.1) | 24.98% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.37% ( 0.14) | 59.62% ( -0.14) |
| Casa Pia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.03% ( 0.09) | 29.97% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.92% ( 0.11) | 66.08% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nacional | Draw | Casa Pia |
| 1-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.33% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.54% Total : 41.11% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.3% | 0-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.54% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.18% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.36% Total : 32.58% |
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