SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 51.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 22.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (7.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Estoril Praia |
51.77% ( -0.07) | 25.4% ( 0) | 22.84% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 48.38% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.89% ( 0.04) | 54.1% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.47% ( 0.04) | 75.53% ( -0.04) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.08% ( -0.01) | 20.92% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.35% ( -0.02) | 53.64% ( 0.02) |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.18% ( 0.09) | 38.82% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.45% ( 0.09) | 75.55% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Estoril Praia |
| 1-0 @ 12.7% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 9.94% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.91% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.92% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 2.46% Total : 51.76% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.8% Total : 25.39% | 0-1 @ 7.68% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.48% Total : 22.84% |
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