Off the back of ending their three-game losing streak, Estoril Praia will head into Sunday's game with renewed confidence as they look to strengthen their position in the top half of the table. However, standing in their way is a spirited Benfica side who will be in full steam following their Tuesday's Champions League triumph. We are backing Benfica to extend their dominance over the Canarinhos and come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 73.52%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 9.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.68%) and 3-0 (10.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Estoril Praia
73.52%	16.92%	9.56%

Both teams to score 44.66%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.07%

42.92%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.67%

65.33%

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.83%

10.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.58%

33.42%

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.72%

50.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.15%

84.85%

Score Analysis

Benfica 73.49%

Estoril Praia 9.56%

Draw 16.92%

Benfica	Draw	Estoril Praia
2-0 @ 13.35% 1-0 @ 11.68% 3-0 @ 10.17% 2-1 @ 9.19% 3-1 @ 7% 4-0 @ 5.82% 4-1 @ 4% 5-0 @ 2.66% 3-2 @ 2.41% 5-1 @ 1.83% 4-2 @ 1.38% 6-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.01% Total : 73.49%	1-1 @ 8.04% 0-0 @ 5.11% 2-2 @ 3.16% Other @ 0.61% Total : 16.92%	0-1 @ 3.52% 1-2 @ 2.76% 0-2 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.08% Total : 9.56%