With home advantage and one competitive game already under their belts, Gil Vicente should have too much momentum behind them for Pacos de Ferreira to withstand - the hosts' margin of victory could even be more than one goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 59.32%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 16.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.42%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gil Vicente in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Gil Vicente.

Result
Gil Vicente	Draw	Pacos de Ferreira
59.32% ( 1.27)	24.12% ( -0.23)	16.56% ( -1.04)

Both teams to score 42.65% (

-1.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.3% (

-0.58)

56.71% (

0.58)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.34% (

-0.47)

77.66% (

0.47)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.05% (

0.27)

18.95% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.53% (

0.43)

50.47% (

-0.43)

Pacos de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.62% (

-1.67)

47.39% (

1.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.23% (

-1.28)

82.78% (

1.28)

Score Analysis

Gil Vicente 59.31%

Pacos de Ferreira 16.56%

Draw 24.11%

Gil Vicente	Draw	Pacos de Ferreira
1-0 @ 14.93% ( 0.45) 2-0 @ 12.42% ( 0.47) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.32) 3-1 @ 5.14% 4-0 @ 2.86% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.09) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.78% Total : 59.31%	1-1 @ 11.15% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.52% Total : 24.11%	0-1 @ 6.71% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.27) 0-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.15% Total : 16.56%