Maritimo have suffered a slump in form in recent weeks and will head into the game in search of a pick-me-up. While they are unbeaten in three straight away games, they face an evenly-matched Pacos de Ferreira side, who will be looking to quickly return to winning ways following their loss to Sporting Lisbon. We predict both sides will cancel out each other's efforts and settle for a share of the spoils.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 31.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 0-1 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pacos de Ferreira would win this match.
