Buoyed by the victory over Boavista, Maritimo will head into the weekend with renewed belief as they look to leapfrog the hosts in the table. However, Santa Clara boasts one of the best home records this year and we predict they will keep this fine run going and come away with all three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 49.69%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 24.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
