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Thursday, March 28
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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 16, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estadio dos Barreiros
B

Maritimo
4 - 0
Boavista

Costa (41'), Joel (45+3', 63' pen., 69')
Joel (21'), Costa (32'), Rossi (32'), Pelagio (55')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Perez (16'), Ferreira (45+1'), Musa (71'), De Santis (81'), Porozo (85')
Morais (72')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Maritimo 0-1 Portimonense
Saturday, May 14 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Tondela 2-2 Boavista
Saturday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Maritimo 2-1 Boavista

With Maritimo and Boavista level on points in the league standings, we expect a thrilling contest with both sides having a go at each other in search of all three points. The visitors head into the game unbeaten in four consecutive away games and we predict they will come away with a slender victory against an out-of-sorts Maritimo side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 44.21%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Maritimo would win this match.

Result
MaritimoDrawBoavista
44.21%27.1%28.69%
Both teams to score 48.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.49%56.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.5%77.5%
Maritimo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.59%25.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.78%60.22%
Boavista Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.93%35.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.18%71.82%
Score Analysis
    Maritimo 44.2%
    Boavista 28.69%
    Draw 27.09%
MaritimoDrawBoavista
1-0 @ 12.2%
2-1 @ 8.76%
2-0 @ 8.36%
3-1 @ 4%
3-0 @ 3.82%
3-2 @ 2.1%
4-1 @ 1.37%
4-0 @ 1.31%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 44.2%
1-1 @ 12.79%
0-0 @ 8.91%
2-2 @ 4.59%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.09%
0-1 @ 9.34%
1-2 @ 6.7%
0-2 @ 4.89%
1-3 @ 2.34%
0-3 @ 1.71%
2-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 28.69%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 2-0 Maritimo
Saturday, April 9 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Maritimo 1-3 Tondela
Sunday, April 3 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-1 Maritimo
Sunday, March 20 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Maritimo 0-1 Guimaraes
Sunday, March 13 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Moreirense 0-1 Maritimo
Sunday, March 6 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Maritimo 1-1 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, February 26 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Boavista 1-0 Arouca
Saturday, April 9 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 1-2 Boavista
Saturday, April 2 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Boavista 0-1 Porto
Sunday, March 20 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Belenenses 0-0 Boavista
Saturday, March 12 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Boavista 1-1 Braga
Saturday, March 5 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 2-3 Boavista
Sunday, February 27 at 6pm in Primeira Liga


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