With Maritimo and Boavista level on points in the league standings, we expect a thrilling contest with both sides having a go at each other in search of all three points. The visitors head into the game unbeaten in four consecutive away games and we predict they will come away with a slender victory against an out-of-sorts Maritimo side.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 44.21%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Maritimo would win this match.
