While Portimonense will look to build on Monday's victory, they face a Vitoria de Guimaraes side who are unbeaten in their last three encounters. Os Vimaranenses, who are one of just four sides to win their opening two games, head into the weekend with sky-high confidence and we predict that they will come out on top once again, albeit by a narrow margin.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 37.71%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.47%) and 2-1 (7.37%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 (12.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portimonense would win this match.
0.25) 
-0.75) 
