While Chaves will look to get their top-flight campaign up and running, next up is a superior and more experienced Maritimo side who have won their last three home games in all competitions. With that said, we predict a cagey contest with the hosts coming away with a slender victory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 46.86%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 25.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.53%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Chaves win it was 0-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
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