MX23RW : Thursday, August 11 10:46:58
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Aug 6, 2022 at 8.30pm UK at Estádio Do Dragão
Porto
5 - 1
Maritimo
Taremi (12', 42'), Evanilson (40'), Marcano (68'), Martinez (76')
Uribe (28'), Marcano (35'), Galeno (87')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Winck (88')
Joel (28'), Teles (78')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Porto 3-0 Tondela
Saturday, July 30 at 8.45pm in Portuguese Super Cup

We said: Porto 3-0 Maritimo

Porto will be keen to start the season on the front foot, and they have the quality to comfortably see off Seabra's men on home turf. The Dragoes excelled at both ends of the pitch last term, and they should outclass Maritimo in the season curtain-raiser. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 79.56%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 6.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.28%) and 1-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.4%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (2.42%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
PortoDrawMaritimo
79.56% (0.066999999999993 0.07) 13.47% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03) 6.96% (-0.04 -0.04)
Both teams to score 45.04% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.29% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)35.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.22% (0.00099999999999767 0)57.77% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.92% (0.012 0.01)7.07% (-0.016100000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.19% (0.038000000000011 0.04)25.81% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04)
Maritimo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.47% (-0.107 -0.11)51.52% (0.102 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.3% (-0.07 -0.07)85.69% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Porto 79.55%
    Maritimo 6.96%
    Draw 13.47%
PortoDrawMaritimo
2-0 @ 12.78% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 11.28% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.65% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.48% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.49% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 7.48% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 4.96%
5-0 @ 3.96% (0.016 0.02)
5-1 @ 2.63% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.75% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.64% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
6-1 @ 1.16% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 79.55%
1-1 @ 6.4% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.65%
2-2 @ 2.81% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 13.47%
0-1 @ 2.42% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 2.12% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 6.96%

Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Porto 3-0 Tondela
Saturday, July 30 at 8.45pm in Portuguese Super Cup
Last Game: Porto 2-1 Monaco
Saturday, July 23 at 8pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Porto 3-1 Tondela
Sunday, May 22 at 5.15pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Porto 2-0 Estoril
Saturday, May 14 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 0-1 Porto
Saturday, May 7 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 4-2 Vizela
Saturday, April 30 at 7pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Maritimo 0-1 Portimonense
Saturday, May 14 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Vizela 1-1 Maritimo
Sunday, May 8 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Maritimo 0-1 Benfica
Saturday, April 30 at 5pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Santa Clara 2-2 Maritimo
Saturday, April 23 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Maritimo 4-0 Boavista
Saturday, April 16 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 2-0 Maritimo
Saturday, April 9 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
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