Buoyed by an emphatic victory over Famalicao, Braga will head into Sunday with renewed confidence as they look to put together an early run of form. Maritimo have stumbled into the new campaign and we expect the home side to extend their dominance in this fixture by coming away with all three points once again.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 61.02%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 16.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.44%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
0.09) 
-0.03) 
