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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 6
Sep 19, 2021 at 6pm UK
Estádio do Dragão
M

Porto
5 - 0
Moreirense

Taremi (34' pen., 71'), Diaz (51', 65'), Pepe (77')
Wendell (52'), Mario (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Camara (10'), Paulinho (32'), Silva (83')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 72.74%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 9.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.18%) and 3-0 (10.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.39%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
PortoDrawMoreirense
72.74%18.12%9.14%
Both teams to score 39.21%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.6%49.4%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.55%71.45%
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.84%12.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.22%37.78%
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.63%55.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.9%88.1%
Score Analysis
    Porto 72.72%
    Moreirense 9.14%
    Draw 18.12%
PortoDrawMoreirense
2-0 @ 14.94%
1-0 @ 14.18%
3-0 @ 10.49%
2-1 @ 8.84%
3-1 @ 6.21%
4-0 @ 5.53%
4-1 @ 3.27%
5-0 @ 2.33%
3-2 @ 1.84%
5-1 @ 1.38%
4-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 72.72%
1-1 @ 8.39%
0-0 @ 6.73%
2-2 @ 2.61%
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 18.12%
0-1 @ 3.98%
1-2 @ 2.48%
0-2 @ 1.18%
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 9.14%

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