Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (8.37%). The likeliest Nacional win was 1-0 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.