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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16
Jan 30, 2021 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio da Madeira
FL

Nacional
2 - 1
Famalicao

Rochez (53'), Ramos (57')
Gorre (34'), Witi (37'), Borges (90+4'), Camacho (90+5'), Piscitelli (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Silva (33')
Ugarte (81')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (8.37%). The likeliest Nacional win was 1-0 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
NacionalDrawFamalicao
28.81%27.37%43.82%
Both teams to score 47.71%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.55%57.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.74%78.25%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.51%35.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.74%72.25%
Famalicao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.96%26.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.93%61.07%
Score Analysis
    Nacional 28.81%
    Famalicao 43.82%
    Draw 27.37%
NacionalDrawFamalicao
1-0 @ 9.57%
2-1 @ 6.67%
2-0 @ 4.96%
3-1 @ 2.3%
3-0 @ 1.71%
3-2 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 28.81%
1-1 @ 12.88%
0-0 @ 9.24%
2-2 @ 4.49%
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.37%
0-1 @ 12.43%
1-2 @ 8.67%
0-2 @ 8.37%
1-3 @ 3.89%
0-3 @ 3.75%
2-3 @ 2.01%
1-4 @ 1.31%
0-4 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 43.82%

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