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N
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25
Apr 2, 2021 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio da Madeira
P

Nacional
1 - 5
Portimonense

Rochez (68')
Matias (45+1'), Riascos (45+4'), Danilovic (88')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Beto (33', 54'), Luquinhas (45'), Cande (62'), Fabricio (90+2')
Oliveira (15')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 39.69%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.93%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Nacional win was 1-0 (11.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portimonense would win this match.

Result
NacionalDrawPortimonense
31.45%28.86%39.69%
Both teams to score 44.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.22%61.78%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.42%81.58%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.19%35.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.41%72.58%
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.61%30.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.42%66.58%
Score Analysis
    Nacional 31.45%
    Portimonense 39.68%
    Draw 28.86%
NacionalDrawPortimonense
1-0 @ 11.17%
2-1 @ 6.84%
2-0 @ 5.74%
3-1 @ 2.34%
3-0 @ 1.96%
3-2 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 31.45%
1-1 @ 13.31%
0-0 @ 10.88%
2-2 @ 4.07%
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 28.86%
0-1 @ 12.96%
1-2 @ 7.93%
0-2 @ 7.72%
1-3 @ 3.15%
0-3 @ 3.07%
2-3 @ 1.62%
1-4 @ 0.94%
0-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 39.68%

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