Friday's game sees two sides who have stumbled into the new season square off and we expect them to take the game to each other in search of a morale-boosting result. Given their current form, Pacos de Ferreira and Estoril head into the weekend evenly matched on paper and we predict the spoils will be shared in an entertaining draw.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 45.83%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 26.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.25%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
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