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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33
May 8, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio de Sao Miguel
PD

Santa Clara
2 - 0
Pacos de Ferreira

Lincoln (9'), Antonio (67')
Antonio (60'), Sagna (76'), Morita (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bastos (11'), Lima (53'), Uilton (78')
Vekic (5')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Santa Clara 2-1 Pacos de Ferreira

Santa Clara head into the weekend unbeaten at home since the start of December and will be backing themselves to keep this fine run going as they take on a floundering Pacos de Ferreira side. While we expect the Pacenses to put up a fight, we predict Santa Clara will come away with all three points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 53.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 22.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Santa Clara would win this match.

Result
Santa ClaraDrawPacos de Ferreira
53.39% (-0.773 -0.77) 24.23% (0.431 0.43) 22.38% (0.342 0.34)
Both teams to score 51.26% (-0.9 -0.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.98% (-1.409 -1.41)50.01% (1.408 1.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28% (-1.269 -1.27)71.99% (1.268 1.27)
Santa Clara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.33% (-0.82300000000001 -0.82)18.67% (0.822 0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50% (-1.398 -1.4)50% (1.396 1.4)
Pacos de Ferreira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.03% (-0.465 -0.47)36.97% (0.463 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.24% (-0.464 -0.46)73.75% (0.46299999999999 0.46)
Score Analysis
    Santa Clara 53.39%
    Pacos de Ferreira 22.38%
    Draw 24.23%
Santa ClaraDrawPacos de Ferreira
1-0 @ 11.58% (0.36 0.36)
2-0 @ 9.72% (0.045 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.67% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
3-0 @ 5.44% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-1 @ 5.41% (-0.189 -0.19)
3-2 @ 2.69% (-0.129 -0.13)
4-0 @ 2.28% (-0.112 -0.11)
4-1 @ 2.27% (-0.142 -0.14)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 53.39%
1-1 @ 11.52% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 6.9% (0.386 0.39)
2-2 @ 4.81% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 24.23%
0-1 @ 6.87% (0.302 0.3)
1-2 @ 5.74% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.42% (0.109 0.11)
1-3 @ 1.9% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.13% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 22.38%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Guimaraes 1-1 Santa Clara
Sunday, May 1 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Santa Clara 2-2 Maritimo
Saturday, April 23 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 1-1 Santa Clara
Friday, April 15 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Santa Clara 2-0 Estoril
Sunday, April 10 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 3-0 Santa Clara
Monday, April 4 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Santa Clara 0-0 Belenenses
Saturday, March 19 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 1-1 Tondela
Monday, May 2 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-1 Pacos de Ferreira
Saturday, April 23 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 4-0 Pacos de Ferreira
Friday, April 15 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 2-0 Maritimo
Saturday, April 9 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-0 Pacos de Ferreira
Sunday, April 3 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 2-1 Moreirense
Sunday, March 20 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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