Santa Clara head into the weekend unbeaten at home since the start of December and will be backing themselves to keep this fine run going as they take on a floundering Pacos de Ferreira side. While we expect the Pacenses to put up a fight, we predict Santa Clara will come away with all three points in this one.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 53.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 22.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Santa Clara would win this match.
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