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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34
May 13, 2022 at 8.15pm UK
Mata Real
B

Pacos de Ferreira
0 - 2
Benfica


Fonseca (57')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Araujo (4', 44')
Gilberto (53')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 0-2 Benfica
Friday, May 13 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Pacos de Ferreira 0-2 Benfica

While Pacos de Ferreira will be looking to return to winning ways, they have managed just one victory against Benfica in the last 20 meetings between the sides. This record makes Verissimo's side firm favourites to come away with the victory, and given the gulf in quality between the two squads, we are backing them to pick up all three points unscathed. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 48.71%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 26.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Benfica in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Benfica.

Result
Pacos de FerreiraDrawBenfica
26.97% (-1.898 -1.9) 24.33% (-0.551 -0.55) 48.71% (2.447 2.45)
Both teams to score 55.77% (0.382 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.63% (1.159 1.16)46.37% (-1.161 -1.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.35% (1.08 1.08)68.65% (-1.084 -1.08)
Pacos de Ferreira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.94% (-0.813 -0.81)31.06% (0.81 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.62% (-0.96 -0.96)67.38% (0.958 0.96)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.89% (1.486 1.49)19.11% (-1.49 -1.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.27% (2.406 2.41)50.73% (-2.408 -2.41)
Score Analysis
    Pacos de Ferreira 26.97%
    Benfica 48.71%
    Draw 24.32%
Pacos de FerreiraDrawBenfica
1-0 @ 6.94% (-0.511 -0.51)
2-1 @ 6.71% (-0.323 -0.32)
2-0 @ 4.06% (-0.397 -0.4)
3-1 @ 2.62% (-0.188 -0.19)
3-2 @ 2.17% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.58% (-0.194 -0.19)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 26.97%
1-1 @ 11.48% (-0.29 -0.29)
0-0 @ 5.94% (-0.296 -0.3)
2-2 @ 5.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.32%
0-1 @ 9.82% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.5% (0.205 0.21)
0-2 @ 8.13% (0.351 0.35)
1-3 @ 5.24% (0.346 0.35)
0-3 @ 4.49% (0.389 0.39)
2-3 @ 3.07% (0.137 0.14)
1-4 @ 2.17% (0.235 0.24)
0-4 @ 1.86% (0.238 0.24)
2-4 @ 1.27% (0.111 0.11)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 48.71%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Santa Clara 2-0 Pacos de Ferreira
Sunday, May 8 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 1-1 Tondela
Monday, May 2 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-1 Pacos de Ferreira
Saturday, April 23 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 4-0 Pacos de Ferreira
Friday, April 15 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 2-0 Maritimo
Saturday, April 9 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-0 Pacos de Ferreira
Sunday, April 3 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 0-1 Porto
Saturday, May 7 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Maritimo 0-1 Benfica
Saturday, April 30 at 5pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 0-0 Famalicao
Saturday, April 23 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 0-2 Benfica
Sunday, April 17 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Liverpool 3-3 Benfica
Wednesday, April 13 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Benfica 3-1 Belenenses
Saturday, April 9 at 6pm in Primeira Liga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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